Online Blackjack Odds
Learning black jack odds and how to win blackjack goes hand-in-hand with understanding on line blackjack probability. Many amateur gamblers mistakenly believe “odds” and “probability” are synonyms when they are actually two distinct ways of expressing the same concept. Smart players know this and use their understanding of blackjack bets to improve their online blackjack odds. But differentiating between odds and probability in itself isn’t terribly complicated. In fact, it’s quite simple: Odds are the likelihood that an event will result in a selected outcome expressed fractionally as the number of positive results over the number of negative results; whereas probability is the likelihood that an event will result in a selected outcome expressed fractionally as the number of positive results over the total number of possible results. So for a six-sided die the probability of rolling a 6 is 1-6 and the odds of rolling a six is 1:5.
In other sections our odds pages merely aim to slow inevitable losses. But because on line blackjack offers players an opportunity to undermine casinos’ blackjack House advantage, your odds of winning black jack are greatly increased just by following a few simple strategies. The way this works is that players have more options in how to make their blackjack bets than dealers do. In most casinos the House rules dictate that dealers may not hit above a hard 17 or a soft 19. Players, meanwhile, can. If dealers were also able to choose their moves freely and strategically, the possibility of winning blackjack would be drastically reduced. And yet, because they can’t, winning blackjack is not only feasible, but extremely profitable..
Finally, your odds of winning blackjack increase along with your understanding of the game. Novice players will likely lose more often than they win; amateurs may come very close to breaking even; and pros, who have perfected their strategies to the point of profitability, will win consistently. This level of winning blackjack doesn't come from luck. It comes from knowledge, experience and skill. Here at AceHoyle.com we can give you the knowledge part of the equation and help you build up your skill level with our free online blackjack game
. But in the course of learning how to win blackjack you will also have to gain a great deal of experience. And the only way to do that is to experience a real blackjack House advantage by playing for real money at brick-and-mortar and online casinos
Thinking Outside of the Black Jack Odds Box
Chances are your search for online blackjack odds has already turned up a lot of fluffy generalities. But, if you're lucky, you might have also found some free online blackjack odds charts detailing Basic Strategy. Such charts are extremely useful when first learning how to win blackjack – so useful, in fact, that we here at AceHoyle.com’s have included our own blackjack odds chart in our “Blackjack Strategy
” section. Whichever chart you use, though, what we can't stress enough is that the real secret to winning at blackjack is no secret at all. It's openly available in nearly every gambling book, magazine and online guide currently in publication so that all it takes is a little memorization to understand blackjack probability.
As for our explanation, one very straightforward way of approaching blackjack probability is by exploring the odds of busting in each hit-or-stand scenario. It's harder to figure the probability of winning black jack with each hand because you must also factor in blackjack probability for the dealer's hand as well as card distribution to other players. In instances where the table is using several decks, the numbers become even more complicated. The best thing to do, then, is start with those hit-or-stand percentages, which will suffice until you can build up a better understanding of card counting
It goes without saying that the ideal hand is a 21. Because you won't be hitting with this hand you also won't be busting. And in this instance it's safe to say that you can't lose either—though in rare instances you might tie. For hands under 21 the probability of busting if you hit increases as your hand value increases, but conversely your online blackjack odds of winning black jack decrease as your hand value decreases making it vital that you hit whenever you can. There are only two on line blackjack hand scenarios that offer absolute probability. Aside from 21, the other situation is a hand with a value of 11 or less. It is always advisable to hit with an 11 or less because there is 0 percent probability that you will bust. The middle ground between 11 and 21 is less promising. While virtually all players will stand on a hand total of 18 and up, hands with a value between 15 and 17 are often too weak to win and yet have over 50 percent probability of busting. These hands set the scene for some very tough choices when it comes to blackjack bets.
If you have all the facts before you and have total freedom in making your moves, then how do casinos still profit off black jack odds? For one thing, not every player is a pro. In fact, the most blackjack players are amateurs at best and have only a very rudimentary understanding of the game and have never looked at a blackjack odds chart. The same House rules that give smart players an advantage are the same rules that give casinos their blackjack House advantage: Because the dealer always stands when probability makes hitting risky, many players will go bust trying to beat them—which equates to an automatic win for the casino. The answer is not for you to mimic the dealer's strategy—because the dealer goes last they will still have an advantage over your hand. The answer is right here on this page in the form of blackjack probability.